Incident Code
Incident Date
Location
Airwars Assessment
(Previous Incident Code: IRBH260309a )
Before dawn on March 9th, 2026, a explosion – allegedly caused by an interceptor missile launched from a U.S. Patriot battery or an Iranian drone – hit the Mahazza neighbourhood on the Sitra island, home to one of the Bahrain’s major oil refineries, located off the coast of the country’s capital, Manama. At least 32 people were reported injured, four of whom were reported to be in critical condition.
According to Bahrain’s Ministry of Health, those seriously injured included a 17-year-old girl who sustained head and eye injuries, two children aged six and seven who suffered injuries to their lower extremities, a two-month-old infant, and a man in his thirties. All of those injured were reported to be Bahraini citizens, and among the wounded were children who were transferred to operating rooms for emergency surgery. The explosion also reportedly caused extensive damage to residential buildings, vehicles and other property.
On Twitter/X, @PalinfoAr reported injuries and in a video attached to the post showed a street covered with debris. Another video posted by the same account shortly after midnight reportedly captured the moment that the residential area was struck by a projectile.
In a video posted by Al Watan on Facebook, a correspondent reported from the site of the explosion, showing several cars damaged. The reporter spoke to a local resident who told him that his house and car had been damaged, while his neighbor had been injured in the thigh and his son had been wounded near his eyes. The video showed holes in a door of the man’s house and a shattered window of his car.
The incident was initially attributed by Bahraini and US authorities to an Iranian drone attack. Bahraini officials stated that a Patriot interceptor successfully engaged an Iranian drone and that both exploded in the air above the neighbourhood. However, a Reuters investigation, published on March 22, 2026 and citing research conducted by the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, challenged this account. Based on open-source videos, satellite imagery, geolocation analysis, and expert review, researchers concluded with moderate-to-high confidence that the explosion was more likely caused by a US-operated Patriot interceptor launched from a battery near Riffa, approximately four miles southwest of Mahazza. Central to the analysis was a video recorded from a nearby apartment building and shared on social media, which appeared to show a Patriot missile travelling at low altitude before descending and detonating approximately 1.3 seconds later.
According to the Reuters investigation, the pattern of damage observed in Mahazza was inconsistent with the impact of an Iranian drone such as a Shahed-136. Researchers noted that damage was distributed across several city blocks rather than concentrated around a single impact point. Satellite imagery and photographs reviewed by the team reportedly showed no crater or localized blast site. Instead, the damage pattern suggested a mid-air detonation above the residential area. While researchers could not determine with certainty whether the interceptor had engaged a target before exploding, they assessed that direct contact with a drone was less likely. Reuters noted that it was unable to independently verify the presence or absence of an Iranian drone at the time of the incident, and no publicly available imagery of missile or drone fragments was identified. As a result, the exact cause of the explosion remains disputed.
Video footage verified by Reuters showed extensive destruction in Mahazza, including debris-strewn streets, damaged homes, thick layers of dust, and residents moving through the affected area in the aftermath of the blast.
Following the incident, social media accounts published photographs showing Bahraini Deputy Prime Minister Sheikh Khalid Al Khalifa accompanied by Lieutenant General Shaikh Rashid bin Abdullah Al Khalifa, Minister of Interior, and a number of ministers and senior officials, visiting the Sitra area and inspecting the damaged neighbourhood. The Deputy Prime Minister affirmed that the government was mobilizing all its capabilities and resources to deal with the repercussions of the incident, support affected residents and ensure public safety.
The incident also generated significant concern among residents. In a Facebook post, Hasan Madan described the atmosphere of fear and uncertainty created by the ongoing regional conflict, stating that powerful explosions had become a recurring feature of daily life: “I try to escape them by turning off the TV or watching an episode of a Ramadan series. But as soon as I start, a terrifying explosion from a missile or drone strike rings out.” He recalled hearing a powerful explosion that caused his building to shake. He then turned to news reports and social media to find out what had happened, later learning that the blast had occurred in Sitra.
Where sources identified a belligerent, both Bahrain and the United States attributed the strike to Iranian military, while Reuters attributed the strike to the U.S. military. According to Reuters, in an X post on March 9, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) denounced Iranian and Russian news reports claiming that the incident in Mahazza was the result of a failed Patriot, calling such allegations a “LIE.” CENTCOM instead claimed that an Iranian drone struck a residential neighborhood.
Given the uncertainty in the attribution of the strike among the sources, Airwars has graded both the strike status as “contested”.