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Airwars Assessment
(Previous Incident Codes: R1358RS1491)
One civilian died and several more were wounded in an airstrike on Al Sheikh Mustapha, local media reported – though it was unclear whether Russia or the Syrian regime were to blame.
According to the Syrian Observatory of Human Rights on October 22nd, “the number of civilians who were killed by Russian airstrikes in the Idlib countryside during the past 24 hours rose to 24 including 4 children and 3 women, while no less than 70 others were wounded and seriously wounded. The targeted areas were Jesr al-Shughour, Maara al-Nu’man, Kafanubol, Shekh Mustafa, Terai and Babouleen, Maarzita”.
However, a number of other sources, including @syriahadath1, @EdlibEmc1 , the Syrian Network for Human and Rozanafm reported regime strikes – though made no mention of civilian harm – but some said that the raids had caused damage. SN4HR reported that the raid occurred near the Sheikh Mustafa Mosque resulting in minor physical damage.
But the Syrian Network for Human Rights said that regime aircraft carried out a strike on Al Sheikh Mustapha. It made no mention of civilian harm, but said that there had been “minor physical damage”.
On October 21st, Halab Today reported that “regime and Russian planes have intensified their raids on the cities and towns of Idlib province during the last 24 hours”, resulting in one death in Al Sheikh Mustapha – meaning that regime involvement in this event can’t be ruled out.
Several other sources referred only to planes” and didn’t identify who they belonged to.
Key Information
Geolocation Notes
Reports of the incident mention the village of al Sheikh Mustapha, for which the generic coordinates are: 35.519135, 36.552968. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.