Civilian Casualties

Civilian Casualties

Incident Code

CS414 RS1787

Incident date

December 12, 2016

Location

الرقة‎, al Dalla roundabout, Raqqa, Syria

Geolocation

35.9505639, 39.0094148 Note: The accuracy of this location is to City level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

A heavy air raid on Ar Raqqah left up to 36 civilians dead according to multiple reports. While most blamed Russia, there were some claims that the US-led Coalition was responsible. It has since denied involvement.

According to Raqqa is Being Slaughtered, the afternoon raids were concentrated mainly near the city’s al Dalla roundabout. Euphrates Post said the target was the al A’jili building, while Our Raqqa Media Group described “raids near the Odessa hotel and al Dalla roundabout and there’s a massacre and large number of cars and shops burnt.” It also said 60 people were injured.

ISIL’s media wing blamed Russia, saying it had conducted five raids on the city. Step News was among those who initially blamed the Coalition. But it later put out a correction noting “the raid that targeted al Dalla roundabout was by Russian planes and not coalition planes. It resulted in the deaths of more than 15 people and injury of dozens.”

The dead were named by local monitors.

In an emailed response to a report submitted by Airwars on this and other incidents in December 2016, Coalition officials said the event was presently assessed as ‘not credible.’

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

The victims were named as:

Family members (3)

Aya
7 years years old female killed
Judy Mahmoud Abadllah al Qaim
3 years years old female killed
Sahar Mahmoud Abadllah al Qaim
2 years years old female

Family members (1)

Ibrahim al Satiti's four children
Age unknown killed

The victims were named as:

Abdallah al Ahmad
Age unknown male killed
Adult male killed
Mohammad Hassan al Assa’d
Age unknown male killed
Abd al Qader al Darda
Adult male killed
Child male killed
Child male killed
Turki Mohammad Khalaf al Hassan
Age unknown male killed
Adult male killed
Age unknown male killed
Adult male killed
Adult male killed
Age unknown male killed
Fatima Fadil al Qaim
24 years years old female killed
Age unknown killed
Age unknown male killed
Rashid Khaled Kalo
10 years years old male killed
Qassem al Khudar
Age unknown male killed
Abd al Qader al Kuwati
Adult male killed
Ibrahim al Matar
Age unknown male killed
Adult male killed
Abd al Razzaq al Ibrahim
Adult male killed
Ibrahim Jassem al Salman
Age unknown male killed
Ibrahim Jassem al Salman's brother
Age unknown male injured
Age unknown male killed
36 years old male killed
Majed al Suweiri
Age unknown male killed
Age unknown male killed

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the city of al Dalla roundabout (الرقة‎), for which the generic coordinates are: 35.9505639, 39.0094148. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    18 – 36
  • (3–14 children2 women16 men)
  • Civilians reported injured
    12–60
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected belligerents
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (58) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (36) [ collapse]

  • Destruction at Raqqah December 12th 2016 following a Russian or Coalition raid which killed 21 civilians (via Raqqa is Being Slaughtered)
  • Khaled Khalaf al Ali (via RBSS)
  • Mohammed and Ibrahim Al-Birawi were both killed in the air strike (via RBSS)
  • Mahmoud Qasem al-Falah (via VDC)
  • Ibrahim Omar Hamndales (via RBSS)
  • Mohammed Noor Al-Firomi (via RBSS)
  • Amjad Ahmad Al-Hassoon (via RBSS)
  • Sohaib Walid Al-Jassem (via RBSS)
  • Taha Al-Nazal (via RBSS)
  • Hammoud Qasim AL-Shiban (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Aftermath of the airstrike (via RBSS)
  • Abd al Qader Ali al Kawati (via RBSS)
  • Sahib Waleed al Jassem (via a comment on a post on RBSS facebook page)
  • Majed al Sweiri (via RBSS)
  • Abdel Qader al Issa (via RBSS)
  • Aya and Judy (via Palmyra media cetnre)
  • Translation: SYRIA: 21 civilians killed in fresh raids on Raqqa
  • Translation: Photos showing the destruction resulting from Russian raids on Raqqa city.
  • Translation: Photos of the destruction left by Russian raids on Raqqa today.
  • Translation: 21 dead and dozens injured following Russian raids that targeted Raqqa city. Photos showing destruction.
CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Raqqah, Syria
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Aug 4, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area of the reported civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For December 11th-12th, the Coalition reported that “Near Ar Raqqah, three strikes engaged an ISIL tactical unit and destroyed an ISIL chemical weapon facility and an armored vehicle.”

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Original strike reports

Russian Military

Russia has not reported any specific strikes between December 1st – 31st 2016.

On 6 January 2017, Russia, however, reported: “Since November 8, 2016, the aircraft carrier group of the Northern Fleet consisting of the heavy aircraft carrying cruiser Admiral Kuznetsov, the heavy nuclear missile cruiser Pyotr Velikiy, the large ASW ship Severomorsk, as well as auxiliary vessels of the Black Sea Fleet, has been fulfilling counterterrorist missions on the territory of Syria”, adding that ”in the course of two months of their participation in the combat actions, naval aviation pilots have carried out 420 combat sorties, 117 of them were night ones.”

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    18 – 36
  • (3–14 children2 women16 men)
  • Civilians reported injured
    12–60
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected belligerents
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (58) [ collapse]