US-led Coalition in Iraq & Syria

Civilians in the ruins of Mosul city. (Maranie R. Staab)

Belligerent
US-led Coalition
Country
Iraq
Syria
start date
end date
Civilian Harm Status
Belligerent Assessment
Declassified Documents
Infrastructure

Incident Code

CS475

Incident date

February 5, 2017

Location

الثورة‎, Tabaqah, Ar Raqqah, Syria

Geolocation

35.8295049, 38.5360909 Note: The accuracy of this location is to City level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Two civilians were reported killed and five injured in a night time strike on al Tabaqa.

According to Smart News “A source native to the city said that unknown aircraft launched three raids, targeting the first and second neighbourhoods and the area near the National Hospital. A medical source at Al Tabaqa hospital reported the arrival of two dead civilians and five wounded, two of them in a serious condition.

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    2
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (4) [ collapse]

CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Al Thawrah (Al Tabaqah), Syria
    Nearest population center
  • Location accuracy
    1 m
  • MGRS coordinate
    37SDV5905065690
    Military Grid Reference System

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Sep 29, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For February 5th-6th 2017 the Coalition reported that “Near Raqqah, six strikes destroyed three tunnels, an artillery system, a VBIED, and an ISIL headquarters.”

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    2
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (4) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CS497

Incident date

February 16, 2017

Location

مزرعة تشرين, Tishreen Farms, Ar Raqqah, Syria

Geolocation

36.132398, 38.869372 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Village level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

A reported airstrike at Tishreen Farms killed up to 22 non-combatants, according to reports. Both Russia and the Coalition were blamed, though the latter denied responsibility.

Asharqiya Voice reported the deaths of 10 people, while Raqqa is Being Slaughtered described “a massacre against 14 civilians after Coalition planes bomb Tishreen farm north of Raqqa.”

Smart said that “the warplanes launched raids on the areas of Kabish Sharqi and Tishreen farms which killed eight civilians and injured 14 others including 5 who were critically injured.”

However, Raqqa is Being Slaughtered Silently later appeared to change their position and reported that this was a Russian strike, killing 14 non-combatants.

The Brigade of Raqqa’s Rebels and Arkhamis al Arabi also blamed Russia.

According to Syria news desk to “22 civilians were killed, including seven members of one family, and more than 30 others injured, at noon today, due to the international targeting the village of Tishreen farm with six raids”.

Euphrates Post published a video showing “long range winged rockets fired by Russian bombers on targets in the city of Raqqa.”

In its June 2017 report the Coalition denied responsibility: “5. Feb. 16, 2017, near Raqqah, Syria, via social media report: No Coalition strikes were conducted on that day in the geographic area of the reported civilian casualties. The closest strike to the report of possible civilian casualties was 4 km away.”

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

The victims were named as:

Family members (1)

Age unknown male Killed with two of his children killed

The victims were named as:

Age unknown male killed

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3 – 22
  • (1–5 children1 woman)
  • Civilians reported injured
    30
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (26) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (4) [ collapse]

  • Translation: raqqa - international coalition planes commit a massacre killing more than 14 civilians after bombings tishreen farm north of the city with several air raids.
  • Translation: media office of the brigade of Raqqa’s rebels - raqqa - 14 martyred after Russian enemy raids on a market in Tishreen farm in northern raqqa.
  • Translation: coalition planes commit a massacre killing 14 civilians after bombing commercial shops near the bakery in Tishreen farm west of Hazima north of raqqa.
  • Translation: it wasn’t the coalition who committed the massacre in raqqa at dawn today but Russian has confessed to the massacre that left dozens of victims after Tishreen farm was targeted.
CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    Insufficient evidence of civilian harm
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Tishreen Farm, near Raqqah, Syria
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Jan 25, 2018
  • After a review of available information and strike video it was assessed that there is insufficient evidence to find that civilians were harmed in this strike.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For February 16th-17th it noted: “Near Ar Raqqah, 17 strikes engaged two ISIS staging areas and an ISIS tactical unit; and destroyed four tunnels, three fighting positions, three ISIS-held buildings, two weapons storage areas, two ISIS headquarters, a VBIED storage facility, a fuel station and a bridge.”

French Military
  • English
    /
    Original

[France reports that over the last week they carried out 32 sorties and seven strikes destroying seven ISIL targets. five strikes were in the Mosul and Sinjar region andtwo were in the Raqqa region of Syria. Strikes targeted ISIL fighters and shooting positions. After two months of presence and operational missions in Operation Chammal, the two Rafales, deployed as reinforcements, left the Middle East. The number of French Rafale deployed in Operation Chammal, has now returned to 12.]

‘Chammal APPRECIATION DE SITUATION Sur l’ensemble du théâtre du Levant, la situation a peu évolué, au sens géographique du terme, cette semaine. En Irak, la phase de sécurisation de Mossoul Est se poursuit et les forces de sécurisation se réarticulent pour libérer l’Ouest de Mossoul. Néanmoins, Daech continue de les harceler et durcit encore ses défenses dans la partie occidentale de la ville. La capitale irakienne reste plongée dans une situation sécuritaire difficile en raison des attentats perpétrés. En Syrie, les forces démocratiques syriennes ont progressé, notamment dans la partie Nord-Est de Raqqah. À Al Bab, le recul de Daech se poursuit au sein même de la ville même si la complexité des interactions entre protagonistes représente toujours un frein aux avancées tactiques. ACTIVITES DE LA FORCE CHAMMAL Appui aérien Cette semaine, alors que la pause opérationnelle générée par la phase de sécurisation de Mossoul-Est se poursuit, les aéronefs ont réalisé 32 sorties aériennes dont 30 de reconnaissance armée ou d’appui au sol (CAS), et 2 de recueil de renseignement. 7 frappes ont été réalisées pour détruire 7 objectifs, dont 5 en Irak dans la région de Mossoul et de Sinjar, et 2 en Syrie dans la région de Raqqah. Les frappes ont ciblé des groupes de combattants, des positions de tir ou des pick-up de Daech. Après deux mois de présence et de missions opérationnelles au sein de l’opération Chammal, les deux Rafale de l’armée de l’air, déployés en renfort sur la base de Jordanie pendant la période d’absence de porte-avions, sont rentrés en métropole. Le nombre de Rafale français déployés en opération Chammal, est désormais revenu à 12 chasseurs. Appui artillerie : Depuis ses deux emprises au Nord et au sud de Mossoul, la TF Wagram a été largement sollicitée cette semaine avec près de 25 missions d’appuis réalisées. Depuis son emprise près de Mossoul, les artilleurs ont appuyé les troupes irakiennes pour des missions d’éclairement destinées à gêner les mouvements de Daech et les tentatives de franchissement du Tigre ou des missions d’interdiction et de destruction contre des positions ennemies. Depuis Qayyarah, la TF Wagram a conduit 11 missions d’éclairement afin de harceler les positions ennemies et faciliter l’action des Forces irakiennes dans la région de la poche d’Hawijah.’

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3 – 22
  • (1–5 children1 woman)
  • Civilians reported injured
    30
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (26) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CS520

Incident date

February 21, 2017

Location

معدان, Ma'adan, Ar Raqqah, Syria

Geolocation

35.751769, 39.61639 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Town level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Eleven non-combatants died in an alleged Coalition airstrike on Maadan town in the Raqqa countryside, according to local media.

Raqqa is Being Slaughtered Silently reported a “massacre” by the Coalition which killed 11 members of “the family of Satif Hussein al Suwairi“.

Both the Shaam News Network and Baladi also reported the death of 11 from the same family, blaming the Coalition. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights – also pointing towards the Coalition – put the death toll at nine including women and children.

The Violations Documentation Center listed 11 victims (all adult males) – killed in a Coalition strike – as Family of Steif Husein al-Soweiri

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    11
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (13) [ collapse]

CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    a:1:{i:0;s:20:"no_coalition_strikes";}
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Ma’dan (Raqqah), Syria
    Nearest population center
  • Location accuracy
    1 m
  • MGRS coordinate
    37SEV5455156948
    Military Grid Reference System

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Sep 29, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For February 20th-21st, the Coalition reported: “Near Ar Raqqah, seven strikes engaged four ISIS tactical units; destroyed three fighting positions, a VBIED, a garage, an IED and a weapons facility; and damaged a bridge.” For February 21st-22nd, they reported: “Near Ar Raqqah, 10 strikes engaged seven ISIS tactical units; destroyed three fighting positions and three tactical vehicles; and damaged two bridges.”

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    11
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (13) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CI488

Incident date

February 26, 2017

Location

Al Kour and other neighbourhoods on the right side of Mosul, Nineveh, Iraq

Geolocation

36.3468977, 43.129921 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Neighbourhood/area level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Local sources said that 33 civilians, including women and children, were killed and 35 injured due to Coalition airstrikes and artillery bombing on several neighborhoods at the right side of Mosul.

Journalists had reported to Yaqein that “aerial bombardment and artillery [shelling] targeted violently, today, the homes of civilians in areas at the right side of the city of Mosul, killing 33 civilians, including women and children, and injuring more than 35 others” and added that “retaliatory shelling also caused the destruction of a number of civilian houses and damaged other.”

Sonawa1 reported a large number of victims in Al-Kour neighbourhood at the right side of Mosul, due to artillery and airstrikes. According to Ajel al Mosul, the intended target may have been the Ekadat oil and gas station.

The local time of the incident is unknown.

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    33
  • Civilians reported injured
    35
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, ISIS

Sources (5) [ collapse]

CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Mosul, Iraq
    Nearest population center
  • Location accuracy
    1 m
  • MGRS coordinate
    38SLF3218024085
    Military Grid Reference System

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Sep 29, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For February 25th-26th the Coalition publicly stated: “Near Mosul, seven strikes engaged four ISIS tactical units; destroyed 15 fighting positions, 11 mortar systems, three vehicles, three weapons caches, two ISIS-held buildings, two VBIEDs, a sniper position, an ISIS headquarters, two heavy machine guns, an artillery system, a UAV staging area, and a supply cache; and suppressed 14 mortar teams, two ISIS tactical units, an artillery team and a rocket-propelled grenade team.”

ISIS Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    ISIS
  • ISIS position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    33
  • Civilians reported injured
    35
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, ISIS

Sources (5) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CI509

Incident date

March 4, 2017

Location

المنصور, Mosul, Al Mansour, Nineveh, Iraq

Geolocation

36.319488, 43.114521 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Neighbourhood/area level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Local sources said that a number of civilians were killed or injured, mostly children and women, when airstrikes struck the Shula kindergarten in Mansour neighborhood, at the right side of Mosul.

According to press sources, the warplanes had targeted an ISIL headquarters. None of the sources identified the warplanes.

Wadi Hajar (Facebook) posted a photo of a young girl (see below), saying that she and her father, as well as all of their family members, died in the airstrikes on Al Mansour. In a second post it showed a photo of a young man, stating that Mohammed Jadou was among the victims.

In what may be a related incident, Amnesty field assessors noted the following: “On 4 March, in the afternoon, another house in our al-Mousour apartments neighbourhood was destroyed by mortars. There was a car bomb in front of the house, and the ISF tried to hit the car bomb. There was a huge explosion. The attack killed three people. Two people were buried under the rubble, and we couldn’t dig them out. My cousin, XXXX – 45 years old – died from a piece of shrapnel in his back. We buried him in the garden. The grave is still there.”

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

The victims were named as:

Mohammed Jadou
Adult male killed

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    2 – 4
  • (1 child2 women1 man)
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (6) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (2) [ collapse]

  • This young girl reportedly died in the raids on Al Mansour, together with her father and all of her family members (via Wadi Hajar Facebook)
  • Mohammed Jadou (via Wadi Hajar Facebook)
CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    Insufficient information on the time and location
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Mosul, Iraq
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Oct 27, 2017
  • The report contains insufficient information of the time, location and details to assess its credibility.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For March 3rd-March 4th the Coalition publicly stated: “Near Mosul, three strikes engaged an ISIS tactical unit and an ISIS staging area; destroyed 21 mortar systems, 13 fighting positions, five heavy machine guns, four medium machine guns, and an ISIS headquarters; and damaged five supply routes.”

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    2 – 4
  • (1 child2 women1 man)
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (6) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CS563

Incident date

March 10, 2017

Location

حمرة بلاسم, Hamra Blassem, Ar Raqqah, Syria

Geolocation

35.878056, 39.197222 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Village level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Four civilians died and seven were injured in an alleged Coalition airstrike on the village of Hamra Blassem, according to local sources.

Halab Today, Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, Raqqa is Being Slaughtered and the Syrian Network all blamed the Coalition, putting the death toll at four.

According to Syria News Desk – which also pointed to the Coalition – “the media opposition activist Ahmed Mazer, quoting civilian sources from the eastern countryside, said that the strikes caused the destruction of three houses and the burning of another, in addition to damage to other property.” Raqqa Post reported that “the main water supplying tank was destroyed in Hamra Blassem”. It also blamed the Coalition.

Four victims were named by Raqqa is Being Slaughtered Silently and the Violations Documentation Center.

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

The victims were named as:

Family members (2)

Age unknown male killed
Age unknown male killed

The victims were named as:

Age unknown male killed
Age unknown male killed

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    4
  • (2 men)
  • Civilians reported injured
    7
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (18) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (3) [ collapse]

  • Abdallah Ahmad al Hamid or al-Hadidi (via Raqqa Post)
  • Abd al Hamid Jijan (via RBSS)
  • The main water supplying tank was destroyed in Hamra Blassem in the eastern countryside of Raqqa (via Raqqa Post)
CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Hamra Balasem (Raqqah), Syria
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Oct 27, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For March 9th-10th it noted: “Near Ar Raqqah, 13 strikes engaged eight ISIS tactical units; destroyed four vehicles, a fighting position, a tactical vehicle, an ISIS headquarters, and a VBIED factory; and damaged three supply routes.“

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    4
  • (2 men)
  • Civilians reported injured
    7
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (18) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CS579

Incident date

March 16, 2017

Location

المنصورة, Al Mansoura, Ar Raqqah, Syria

Geolocation

35.83917, 38.74288 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Village level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

The Smart news agency reported that likely Coalition airstrikes targeted the oil refinery area of Al Mansoura, “killing one worker and injuring others, in addition to destroying three burners and a car used to transport oil.”

Madar News used identical language in its own report.

No additional details are presently known.

 

The local time of the incident is unknown.

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    1
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (2) [ collapse]

CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Al Mansoura, Syria
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Oct 27, 2017
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For March 15th – 16th: “Near Ar Raqqah, 13 strikes engaged four ISIS tactical units and destroyed four fighting positions, an IED, a weapons storage facility, a storage facility, a VBIED facility, a UAV facility, a logistics facility, and an ammunition cache.” For March 16th – 17th: “Near Ar Raqqah, eight strikes engaged six ISIS tactical units and destroyed three fighting positions, a vehicle, an ISIS-held building, and an oil refinement still.”
For March 16th-17th: "Near Ar Raqqah, eight strikes engaged six ISIS tactical units and destroyed three fighting positions, a vehicle, an ISIS-held building, and an oil refinement still."

Summary

  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    1
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    US-led Coalition

Sources (2) [ collapse]

Incident Code

CS614 RS2025

Incident date

March 24, 2017

Location

Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, Raqqa, Syria

Geolocation

35.962769, 39.009272 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Exact location (via Airwars) level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Up to six civilians including two children and two women died, and as many as five civilians were wounded, in an airstrike on the Bado neighbourhood of Raqqa, according to local media, though reports were conflicted as to whether this was the work of the US led Coalition or Russian warplanes.

Palmyra Media Center reported “Coalition planes targeted a Daesh warehouse behind Abu al A’laa al Ma’ari school. The school was damaged as a result of the air raid and was used to house displaced people from Palmyra, al Sukhna and al Tabaqa”.

Another report by Palmyra Media Center named a female as a victim of a Coalition strike which hit a “a bakery belonging to Daesh near Abu al A’laa al Ma’ari school.”

RFS Media Office, RBSS and Syria PC reported that the strikes targeted several points in the city of Raqqa but centred around a school and a water resources building in al-Ma’ari, which both were rendered inoperable. Areas around ِal-Idikhar street were also hit, RFS added.

Raqqa is Being Slaughtered Silently initially reported an unspecified number of deaths and injuries following a Coalition strike on the Bado neighbourhood. However, a subsequent report alleged that this was a Russian strike. Further reports by RBSS put the death toll at six, “mainly women and children” and named a young girl as killed.

Photographs were published by RBSS of the aftermath, showing destruction to buildings and local infrastructure.

The Syrian Network for Human Rights also attributed blame to Russia, putting the death toll at five including a girl and two women. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights and Shaam News also said that Russia had carried out raids on Raqqa.

Sharqiya Voice reported the death of two women and a child by “warplanes”, though it didn’t identify them. According to Alaraby, “warplanes targeted the Al-Thanaka neighbourhood opposite to the stadium in Al-Bado neighbourhood, killing three civilians and wounding five.”

The local time of the incident is unknown.

The victims were named as:

Child female later died form her wounds sustained in the attack killed
9 years old female displaced from Palymra killed

Summary

  • Civilian infrastructure
    School
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3 – 6
  • (1–2 children1–2 women)
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (25) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (15) [ collapse]

  • This media contains graphic content. Click to unblur.

    Amina Al-Mufdi, killed in an alleged Coalition strike on the Al-Bado neighbourhood in Raqqa, March 24th 2017. (via SN4HR)
  • This media contains graphic content. Click to unblur.

    Amina Al-Mufdi, killed in an alleged Coalition strike on the Al-Bado neighbourhood in Raqqa, March 24th 2017. (via Al Ragga truth)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)
  • The aftermath of an alleged Russian raid on a warehouse behind Ma'ari school, Bado neighbourhood, Raqqa, 24th March 2017. (via RBSS)

Geolocation notes (1) [ collapse]

Reports of the incident mention a warehouse behind the Ma’ari school (مدرسة المعري) in the Badou neighbourhood in Raqqa. The coordinates for the Ma’ari school (مدرسة المعري) are: 35.9621355, 39.0097957. On satellite imagery a building that looks like a warehouse can be seen behind the school, damaged between January 7 and May 18, 2017. The images published by RBSS clearly show the collapsed roof of this building and the water tower east of the warehouse. The coordinates for the warehouse are: 35.962769, 39.009272.

  • Damage seen of the warehouse behind Al Ma'ari school (مدرسة المعري), the water tower seen on RBSS images marked in red (left: January 7, 2017; right: May 18, 2017)

    Imagery:
    © 2019 Google

CJTF–OIR Declassified Assessment and Press Release

Attached to this civilian harm incident is a provisional reconciliation of the Pentagon's declassified assessment of this civilian harm allegation, based on matching date and locational information.

The declassified documents were obtained by Azmat Khan and the New York Times through Freedom of Information requests and lawsuits filed since March 2017, and are included alongside the corresponding press release published by the Pentagon. Airwars is currently analysing the contents of each file, and will update our own assessments accordingly.

Declassified Assessment Press Release

US-led Coalition Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    US-led Coalition
  • US-led Coalition position on incident
    Non credible / Unsubstantiated
    Insufficient information to assess that, more likely than not, a Coalition strike resulted in civilian casualties.
  • Reason for non-credible assessment
    No Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area
  • Civilian deaths conceded
    None
  • Civilian injuries conceded
    None
  • Stated location
    near Bado neighborhood, Raqqah, Syria
    Nearest population center

Civilian casualty statements

US-led Coalition
  • Jan 25, 2018
  • After a review of available information it was assessed that no Coalition strikes were conducted in the geographical area that correspond to the report of civilian casualties.

Original strike reports

US-led Coalition

For March 24th-25th: “Near Ar Raqqah, four strikes engaged an ISIS tactical unit; destroyed two fighting positions, two vehicles, and a weapons storage facility; and damaged a supply route.”

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Original strike reports

Russian Military

Russia has not reported any specific strikes between March 1st - 31st 2017.

Summary

  • Civilian infrastructure
    School
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3 – 6
  • (1–2 children1–2 women)
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Contested
    Competing claims of responsibility e.g. multiple belligerents, or casualties also attributed to ground forces.
  • Suspected attackers
    US-led Coalition, Russian Military

Sources (25) [ collapse]