Russian Military in Ukraine

A member of the Ukrainian Emergency Service looks at the City Hall building in the central square following shelling in Kharkiv, Ukraine, on March 1, 2022. (AP Photo/Pavel Dorogoy)

Russian Military in Ukraine

Published

November 25, 2022

Written by

Megan Karlshoej-Pedersen

Header Image

The signing ceremony for the Political Declaration on the Use of Explosive Weapons in Populated Areas (EWIPA) on November 18th 2022 in Dublin Castle. Over 80 state delegations such as the UK (pictured) officially endorsed the declaration.

An overview of the actions needed

On Friday November 18th, states and civil society joined together in Dublin Castle to officially endorse the long-awaited international Political Declaration on the use of explosive weapons in populated areas (EWIPA). So far, 82 states have signed onto the declaration; this is a similar number to the initial signatories to other international declarations that have created new norms and standards in warfare, such as the Safe Schools Declaration. Among the signatories to the EWIPA declaration are states such as the US, UK, Netherlands, and Belgium, all of which made sizable contributions to the coalition against ISIS in Iraq and Syria that killed an estimated 8,194–13,249 civilians.

According to Action on Armed Violence, when EWIPAs are used, over 90% of those harmed are civilians. Airwars recently put together a series of maps showing the clear and troubling connection between population density in cities and civilian deaths during urban warfare. Even beyond those who are killed immediately, the reverberating effects are often severe and pervasive, with schools, hospitals, livelihoods, and basic resources like food and water becoming inaccessible for years. This has played out in recent conflicts in cities such as Mosul and Raqqa, in which entire city parts were destroyed and have been made uninhabitable.

The Irish-led, UN backed international declaration is a groundbreaking step towards curbing the use of such weapons. It comes at the back of a decade of civil society focus and pressure on this, led by the INEW network, which Airwars is a part of. As with any political declaration, the results are only as good as the implementation. Below, we outline some of the challenges states must address as they begin the process of implementing the EWIPA declaration.

States must be frank about gaps in their current approach

The first step in understanding how to implement the declaration to limit the use of EWIPAs must be for each state to critically examine current gaps in its own approach and engage in a meaningful process to address these. This in itself might be a stumbling block for some; while states such as the US and the Netherlands have shown increasing willingness to address gaps in their approach to the protection of civilians by working with civil society and experts, others have not.

The UK for instance, still falls behind allies in terms of transparency on evidence collection around civilian harm. Under the declaration, states committed to: “Collect, share, and make publicly available disaggregated data on the direct and indirect effects on civilians and civilian objects of military operations involving the use of explosive weapons in populated areas, where feasible and appropriate”. Despite the UK representative in Dublin noting during the signing ceremony that “the UK already has policies and procedures in place to support the implementation”, this has to date not been evident when it comes to public reporting on the effects of UK military actions.

As it stands, the UK maintains that it has evidence of only a single civilian casualty from its actions in the seven year anti-ISIS campaign, for example, despite extensive military involvement. The US, by comparison, has admitted to over 1,400 civilian casualties as part of the Coalition.  When challenged, UK officials tend to emphasise that they are aware that is not a case of lower civilian casualties than in previous conflicts – but of poor evidence gathering. This position was summarised by former Armed Forces Minister, Mark Lancaster, who emphasised in 2019 that; “[I]t is not our position that there has been only a single civilian casualty as a result of our military action. What we are saying is that we have evidence of only a single, or what we believe to have been a single, civilian casualty.”

In spite of this oft-repeated recognition that the evidence gathering mechanisms of the UK are not able to accurately reflect the reality on the ground, there is, to our knowledge, no process in place to improve this approach and little willingness to engage with civil society to address this. If this is not addressed, there will be a significant gap between the rhetoric of UK leadership when it comes to EWIPA and the reality on the ground.

States must build clarity on who is responsible for implementing the EWIPA declaration on a national level

The second step states must take to implement the EWIPA declaration is to gain better internal understandings of who will be involved in its implementation. This must include those focusing specifically on EWIPA, but also those focusing on topics such as human security, the protection of civilians, humanitarian response, development, diplomacy, and all the other elements required to protect those caught in conflict from being harmed by explosive weapons.The structures behind overseas military engagements are complex, quick changing, and lines of responsibility are often murky. Yet it is only if all involved in such operations, across parliament, ministries of defence, and ministries of foreign affairs and overseas development, are dedicated to limiting the use of EWIPA, understanding their impact, and tracking civilian harm that occurs if they are used, that implementation will be effective.

States must be open to civil society inclusion in the implementation of the EWIPA declaration 

Civil society actors, many of us united under the INEW banner, played a significant role in the development of the EWIPA declaration and the advocacy that brought states to the process, a fact that was acknowledged by a large number of states at the conference in Dublin. We stand ready to support the implementation in national contexts and across international coalitions. Many civil society organisations have spent years – sometimes decades – developing protection mechanisms and civilian harm tracking mechanisms, as well as conducting research into valuable lessons on the impact of EWIPA. Civil society organisations are also often direct links to the communities affected. It is in all of our interests that these resources are effectively shared with those in power.

In those states where there is a history of poor transparency and accountability on civilian harm and civilian harm tracking, governments and their militaries must also commit to a certain level of transparency on the implementation of the EWIPA declaration. They should work with civil society actors to understand the gaps in their current approach and set up milestones for implementation.

Looking forward

The endorsing ceremony was a promising step towards recognising the immense harm that these weapons have caused in recent years – and the harm they will continue to cause as their impact reverberates through communities. If the declaration is implemented well, fewer civilians will be harmed by explosive weapons in their cities, towns, and camps.

Yet there are pitfalls each state must avoid if their implementation of the declaration is to be meaningful. They must be frank about current gaps in their system and must be willing to address them. They must gain an oversight of everyone who will play a role in the effective implementation of EWIPA. And they should work with civil society actors who have resources to share and stand ready to support implementation.

Additional resources:

    Implementation Brief: Political Declaration on the Use of Explosive Weapons in Populated Areas, CIVIC, November 2022 (here) Safeguarding Civilians: A Humanitarian Interpretation of the Political Declaration on the Use of Explosive Weapons in Populated Areas, Human Rights watch and the International Human Rights Clinic at Harvard Law school, October 2022 (here) Implementing the Political Declaration on the Use of Explosive Weapons in Populated Areas: Key Areas and Implementing Actions, INEW and Article 36, November 2022 (here) Over 80 Countries Committed to Curb Use of Explosive Weapons, Now Comes the Hard Part, Bonnie Docherty, Human Rights Watch for Just Security, November 23rd 2022 (here)
▲ The signing ceremony for the Political Declaration on the Use of Explosive Weapons in Populated Areas (EWIPA) on November 18th 2022 in Dublin Castle. Over 80 state delegations such as the UK (pictured) officially endorsed the declaration.

Published

November 23, 2022

Written by

Airwars Staff

Header Image

The SNP Foreign and Defense front bench launch the new policy approach, "A Scottish approach to the protection of civilians in conflict" in Westminster on November 22nd 2022 (Image via Airwars staff)

The Scottish National Party launched a protection of civilians paper on Tuesday, becoming the largest European party to have such plans. The paper was written with significant civil society input, coordinated and led by Airwars.

The newly-launched paper dictates how a future independent Scotland would conduct conflict and protect civilians before, during, and after Scottish operations.

It includes a pledge to introduce oversight of special forces, a strong focus on the importance of tracking civilian harm and being transparent about the findings, as well as a commitment to limit the use of explosive weapons in populated areas.

As SNP Spokesperson for Foreign Affairs, Alyn Smith MP said during the launch, “making these points isn’t just about an independent Scotland but it’s about what we can all do to get the world to a better place than where we are now. The protection of civilians needs to be higher up the agenda.”

The SNP currently controls Holyrood, the devolved Scottish parliament, and is the third largest party in the UK national parliament. It advocates for an independent Scotland and is campaigning for a fresh Scottish independence referendum in the coming years.

A small, but growing number of countries have declared civilian harm mitigation policies. In response to civil society and media pressure, the United States recently rewrote its entire policy to try and reduce the number of civilians it kills. The Netherlands is undergoing a similar process through its Roadmap Process.

Yet the UK has not kept up with allies and lacks a detailed, transparent policy on how it will mitigate harm, and respond when it does occur. With this paper, the SNP distances itself from this approach. As well as dictating how a future independent Scotland would engage in conflict, the policy also outlines the key beliefs of the SNP in regard to how the UK should fight wars. These include a firm commitment to monitoring the civilian impact of conflicts, as well as to transparency about where and when strikes are committed.

It also commits the party to a UN-backed declaration to limit the use of explosive weapons in populated areas, which disproportionately kill civilians who make up more than 90% of those killed when such weapons are used. Last week, delegates from over 80 countries, including the US and the UK, signed an agreement committing to limit their use in Dublin.

🌎Today @ChrisLawSNP, @AlynSmith & I have published a new policy paper on the protection of civilians in conflict. UN Security Council Resolution 1265 was adopted more than 20 years ago, but the failure to protect civilians in conflict is stark. The world needs a fresh approach. pic.twitter.com/HNJDxClzs8

— Stewart McDonald MP (@StewartMcDonald) November 22, 2022

Airwars coordinated the extensive civil society input into the policy, ensuring that each section was written – and reviewed – by experts on the respective areas covered in the paper, such as women, peace, and security, climate change and atrocity prevention.

“With the release of their paper, Scotland is joining others in setting a new standard for how to protect civilians caught in conflict,” said Megan Karlshoej-Pedersen, Policy Specialist at Airwars. “The policy is unique in the extent to which it has allowed for meaningful civil society engagement, and its focus on civilian harm tracking is a nod to the vital importance of acknowledging when harm has occurred and learning important lessons.

While the ongoing war in Ukraine has brought civilian harm to the forefront of news outlets and political debate, such harm is not new. Over the last eight years, the US-led coalition against ISIS in Iraq and Syria caused 8,197–13,252 deaths, yet contributors to the coalition have all failed to account for these. To date, the UK acknowledges only a single civilian casualty from its own contribution. With their new paper, SNP are outlining that an independent Scotland would distance itself from this approach and instead become a leader on the protection of civilians.

Read the full policy approach here.

▲ The SNP Foreign and Defense front bench launch the new policy approach, "A Scottish approach to the protection of civilians in conflict" in Westminster on November 22nd 2022 (Image via Airwars staff)

Incident Code

RUK200

Incident date

May 13, 2022

Location

Леб’яже, Lebyazhe, Kharkiv, Ukraine

Geolocation

49.802959, 36.906444 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Village level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

On 13 May 2022, 4 civilians were reportedly wounded, including which a 15 year-old boy, by Russian shelling in Lebyazhe village, Kharkiv.

Sources, quoting the press service of the Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor’s Office, reported that Russian forces shelled twice the area. The first attack was conducted in the morning at around 11 am, and “as a result of the shelling, a fire broke out in the garage.” A second shelling followed, according to most sources, at around 5 p.m., and led to 4 civilians harmed, among which a child. Prokuratura_kharkiv added on Telegram that “Under the procedural leadership of the Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor’s Office, a pre-trial investigation has been launched into the fact of violation of the laws and customs of war (Part 1 of Article 438 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine).”

This incident has ACLED’s reference code: UKR78910

The incident occured at approximately 5:00 pm local time.

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    4
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (11) [ collapse]

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the village of Lebyazhe (Леб’яже), for which the generic coordinates are: 49.802959, 36.906444. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    4
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (11) [ collapse]

Incident Code

RUK199

Incident date

May 13, 2022

Location

Лозівська громада, Lozova Community, Kharkiv, Ukraine

Geolocation

49.02256, 36.33518 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Subdistrict level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

On May 13rd 2022, a civilian described as a woman, was reportedly injured by a Russian rocket attack in Lozivska (Loziv) community, Kharkiv. Sources quoted Loziv City Mayor Serhii Zelenskyi who said that “a dozen private houses were damaged, windows in multi-storey buildings were broken. A cultural center and a critical infrastructure object were damaged.”

The incident has ACLED’s reference code: UKR57787

The incident occured in the morning.

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Airstrike and/or Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    1
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (8) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (2) [ collapse]

  • "One of the Starostyn districts of the Loziv community was shelled. A dozen private homes, a critical infrastructure facility, a cultural center were affected, windows were broken in several apartment buildings. There are casualties among civilians. One woman was injured. We calculate and record the consequences. For security reasons, I will provide more information tomorrow. The enemy continues to fight the civilian population, directing rockets at our cities and villages. But don't be intimidated. Despite everything, we will win! Everything will be Ukraine!" Source: @SergiySelenskyy
  • Liveuamap reporting shelling in Lozova community on May 13rd. Source: Liveuamap

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the Lozova community (Лозівська громада), for which the generic coordinates are: 49.02256, 36.33518. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

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Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Airstrike and/or Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    1
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (8) [ collapse]

Incident Code

RUK198

Incident date

May 12, 2022

Location

Балаклія, Balakliya, Kharkiv, Ukraine

Geolocation

49.462248, 36.857606 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Town level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Two civilians were injured by alleged Russian shelling of Balakliia on May 12, 2022.

The Head of the Kharkiv Regional State Administration Oleg Synegubov posted on Telegram that “2 people were also injured in Balaklia.”

This incident has reference to ACLED code UKR57686.

No other information is available for this incident.

The local time of the incident is unknown.

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (2) [ collapse]

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the town of Balakliya (Балаклія), for which the generic coordinates are: 49.462248, 36.857606. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (2) [ collapse]

Incident Code

RUK197

Incident date

May 12, 2022

Location

Шебелинка, Shebelynka, Kharkiv, Ukraine

Geolocation

49.45265, 36.51992 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Village level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

Three civilians were killed and five others were injured by alleged Russian shelling of Shebelynka on May 12, 2022.

The head office of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine in Kharkiv posted on Telegram that an enemy projectile hit a “hangar building” at 4:35pm causing a fire to break out on the roof of the building and catching 10 trucks on fire. Oleg Sinegubov, head of the Kharkiv Regional State Administration, added that as a result, three people died and five more were injured.

Images posted by Kharkiv Life on Telegram show extensive damage internally and externally to a building.

No other information is available at this time.

This incident has reference to ACLED code UKR57695.

The incident occured at 16:35:00 local time.

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (5) [ collapse]

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the village of Shebelynka (Шебелинка), for which the generic coordinates are: 49.45265, 36.51992. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Strike status
    Single source claim
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    3
  • Civilians reported injured
    5
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Weak
    Single source claim, though sometimes featuring significant information.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (5) [ collapse]

Incident Code

RUK196

Incident date

May 12, 2022

Location

Дергачі, Derhachi, Kharkiv, Ukraine

Geolocation

50.11087, 36.11149 Note: The accuracy of this location is to Town level. Continue to map

Airwars assessment

During the second reported Russian shelling of the village of Derhachi on May 12th, two medics were injured.

Kharkiv Today reported that a total of two civilians were killed and four were wounded, including two medics. Two civilian deaths and two injuries were accounted for in RUK0230 as occurring during the first shelling of the day, therefore this incident corresponds to the two medics injured.

Kharkiv Today also reported on infrastructure that was damaged by the shelling: ” A civil registry office, the catering unit of the district hospital, part of the polyclinic along with the x-ray room were destroyed and the building of the ambulance department was damaged by the blast wave. Shells destroyed the building of the House of Culture, where the humanitarian aid distribution centre was located.” It is unclear whether this damage occurred in the first (RUK0230) or second shelling during the day.

Due to the shelling Dergachyovo city council announced that there would be no humanitarian aid distribution: “Tonight the occupants have completed their work and destroyed the Dergachy culture house, and at the same time our humanitarian headquarters, with a missile strike. In this regard, there will be no distribution of humanitarian aid today.” In a video posted by Truexa News UA, the damage to the humanitarian aid center was described as “The roof was smashed, a hole was punched in the concrete floor, three floors were destroyed.”

No Russian state-run sources were found related to this incident.

This assessment has reference to ACLED code UKR57687 and Attacks on health dataset code 34172.

The incident occured at approximately 12:30 pm local time.

Summary

  • Strike status
    Likely strike
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian infrastructure
    Healthcare facility, Humanitarian aid distribution
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (16) [ collapse]

Media
from sources (15) [ collapse]

  • Screenshot of Facebook post by Viacheslav Zadorenko
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Truexa News UA via Telegram)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Viacheslav Zadorenko)
  • Damage caused by alleged Russian shelling of Dergachi on May 12, 2022. (Image posted by Truexa News UA via Telegram)

Geolocation notes

Reports of the incident mention the town of Derhachi (Дергачі), for which the generic coordinates are: 50.11087, 36.11149. Due to limited satellite imagery and information available to Airwars, we were unable to verify the location further.

Russian Military Assessment:

  • Suspected belligerent
    Russian Military
  • Russian Military position on incident
    Not yet assessed

Summary

  • Strike status
    Likely strike
  • Strike type
    Artillery
  • Civilian infrastructure
    Healthcare facility, Humanitarian aid distribution
  • Civilian harm reported
    Yes
  • Civilians reported killed
    Unknown
  • Civilians reported injured
    2
  • Cause of injury / death
    Heavy weapons and explosive munitions
  • Airwars civilian harm grading
    Fair
    Reported by two or more credible sources, with likely or confirmed near actions by a belligerent.
  • Suspected attacker
    Russian Military

Sources (16) [ collapse]